The U.S.-China trade war has seen both countries imposing import tariffs on each other, with China’s sudden decision to back off in the face of American pressure paving a way for talks. The recent developments show that there is still hope for a deal between the two nations despite Trump’s tariff threats and Beijing’s previous aversion to negotiation.
The “deal or no deal 2021” is a game show that has been around for over 20 years. It is one of the most popular games on television, and it will be coming back in 2021.
There will be no agreement. The MLB lockout is still in effect.
The MLBPA player leaders unanimously opted not to accept MLB’s last proposal before the league’s 5 p.m. ET deadline, forcing the organization to postpone the 2022 regular season.
What comes next? Is it true that Opening Day will be postponed? Why are the owners and players unable to work together? How much longer can this shambles go on?
Alden Gonzalez and Jeff Passan of ESPN explore the most pressing topics facing MLB’s continuing labor conflict.
Why haven’t owners and players been able to reach an agreement on a new CBA after three months?
There are several macro reasons for this not being done — the players’ deep mistrust of ownership, a desire to make significant gains on a Collective Bargaining Agreement that was gamed by savvy front offices, a nationwide penchant by corporate billionaires to maximize profits no matter the consequences — but here’s a micro reason: Owners said at the start of discussions that they were prepared to reallocate money to players but not to raise it. To put it another way, the pie might vary but not expand.
The owners’ viewpoint was diametrically opposed to the union’s goals. It’s why the league’s proposals for minimum salaries, the luxury tax threshold, and the amount of money needed to fund a new player pool all seemed to have a back-end component — such as a salary floor with a significantly lower ceiling — and why proposals for minimum salaries, the luxury tax threshold, and the amount of money needed to fund a new player pool were all minor at best. The league delayed three months to respond to the union’s initial core-economics proposal, then six weeks to respond after imposing the lockout in December, giving the union obvious indications that the owners were determined to drag this out in the hopes of forcing the players to capitulate.
The actual discussions did not begin until the latter week of February. The union had given up its demands for earlier free agency and revenue-sharing cutbacks at that time, and had made considerable concessions on the proportion of extra players who would be eligible for arbitration early. Owners, in response, proposed more generous minimum wages, a higher luxury tax threshold, and a larger player pool. However, the chasm remains too large. The owners do not want to invest a lot more money. Players feel they should, considering the added wealth that an extended playoffs will bring, as well as the expected inflow of gambling. Alden Gonzalez’s words
What happens now that the deadline for starting discussions on time has passed?
Both parties will continue to communicate as long as they believe it is in their best interests to do so. As the deadline neared, there was a readiness to move forward on problems where both parties had been entrenched, which is an evident result of the league enacting the deadline and demonstrates why it was instituted in the first place. There’s a bargain to be had. Everyone concerned is aware of this. It’s just a question of negotiating a bargain that both sides can live with, understanding that the conditions, as well as avoiding the humiliation that comes with losing games, are preferable to the alternative. — Passan, Jeff
Now that Opening Day has been postponed, when do you think the MLB season will start?
The first two series of the regular season have been canceled, according to Rob Manfred, and no deal will be reached until Thursday.
But I’m not totally convinced by the idea. The fact that MLB has said that Opening Day would be postponed does not imply that Opening Day will be postponed. Is MLB really going to skip up on that opportunity and all the headaches it would bring to… make a point if there’s enough traction on a deal that something might be done by, say, Saturday? Obviously not. Even if a three-week spring training isn’t ideal — and the league is correct: it isn’t — MLB did it in 2020 and may do it again in the future.
However, if an agreement isn’t reached in the next few days, it may take some time. How long do you think it will take? No one knows for sure. Passan –
Is there anything the commissioner can do to get the season started without a new CBA?
Absolutely. The lockout might be lifted by Rob Manfred, and the players could return to work and play under the previous contract. He’s unlikely to do so since it provides players the opportunity to strike, and because the competitive balance tax sunset in the previous CBA means MLB would effectively be operating without it, but MLB does have that choice. Passan –
Will MLB need to come up with a new schedule for a truncated season, or will the schedule be taken up as it is now when the season eventually begins?
The league seems to be willing to take up the schedule. It would be very difficult to do so if tickets had been sold for certain games on specified days. Passan –
If the regular season is continued to be postponed, does either side gain additional bargaining power?
An oral history of the 1994 Major League Baseball strike, which almost ended the sport. Tim Kurkjian is a writer who lives in New York City.
The owners are in the driver’s seat. They’re billionaires, and they often hold their franchises for decades, handing them down from generation to generation. A few missed games over a season is only a blip on their radar in the long run. Players’ careers are substantially shorter, and their earning potential is correspondingly lower. When games are missed, they make much more sacrifices. Owners are betting that missed payments will splinter the union sufficiently for the players to side with them even more.
Since the previous CBA was signed more than five years ago, the MLB Players Association has been planning for this, putting aside a major portion of license checks to pay players during a prospective labor stoppage. Players will be paid $15,000 each month starting in April. That isn’t even close to what they get paid on a regular basis. However, the players have power in the form of enlarged playoffs and the associated financial bonanza, which the union wisely tied to a complete season.
The public seems to be on the players’ side as well. MLB commissioner Rob Manfred bears the brunt of the criticism for the abbreviated season and its consequences, fair or not. He is at the mercy of his employers, yet it is his responsibility to establish enough consensus to reach an agreement. Gonzalez’s words
“No deal” is a popular game show where the contestant has to make the best of a bad situation. The game show was created by British television producer Michael Davies and American television producer Mark Goodson in 2002. Reference: deal or no deal 2022.
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