Fantasy football is a game of projections, but sometimes fantasy drafts are too predictable. With the ADP data from over 100 experts, this article will help you find undervalued quarterbacks based on their current draft cost.
The fantasy football 2021 rankings is a list of the top 10 quarterbacks in 2021. This list is based on their ADP and the number of games they are projected to play.
Despite the quarterback position’s typical predictability, there are usually big breakouts that provide explosive value at their ADP, such as Patrick Mahomes in 2018, Lamar Jackson in 2019, and Justin Herbert this season. Having a weekly starting quarterback and stashing one in case of injury or in the hopes of them breaking out and providing trade value or even starting worth on your team can be a fantastic investment at a cheap draft day price (or even a waiver wire selection!).
However, identifying these players may be challenging. So, as of August 25th, here are five quarterbacks that are undervalued based on their ADP.
5. New Orleans Saints’ Jameis Winston (ADP 200, QB27)
Winston ended as fantasy football’s QB3 and the fourth-highest scorer overall in 2019, believe it or not. While that season is most remembered for his entry into the “30/30 club” (touchdowns/interceptions), he only had one week in which he scored fewer than 15 fantasy points, demonstrating that his skill provided a weekly floor that outweighed his bad decision-making. He passed for 5,109 yards and, despite the fact that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ defense helped him, he still completed more over 60% of his passes and demonstrated that he had really unique arm ability. Sean Payton’s high-powered system with athletic pass-catchers like Tre’Quan Smith, Marquez Callaway, and Alvin Kamara may definitely be enough for him to put up excellent numbers. Winston may flirt with QB1 statistics and rocket into weekly starter territory once Michael Thomas returns if he’s as good as he’s looked thus far in the preseason. He’s a good speculative addition if you have space on your bench.
4. San Francisco 49ers’ Trey Lance (ADP 168, QB20)
Lance has amazing physical abilities. He has mid-4.5 speed, the ability to throw off-balance and at various angles, and the potential to be a terrific NFL deep ball thrower. If he were to start Week 1 for the Niners, his ADP would be nothing near where it is today — it would be in borderline QB1 territory. Lance’s potential to put up statistics is undeniable, thus the only thing holding down his ADP right now is the fact that Jimmy Garoppolo is the starter. Lance has the potential to put up mid-tier QB1 statistics if he gets the job, similar to what Justin Herbert accomplished when he first started last season. The sky is the limit for Trey Lance in a Kyle Shanahan offense that includes George Kittle, Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, Raheem Mostert, and Trey Sermon.
3. Derek Carr of the Raiders of Las Vegas (ADP 186, QB24)
Carr is the least entertaining quarterback on our list, but that’s because he provides a service that none of the others do. Carr, rather than being a bench stash to see how things play out early in the season, has the potential to be a QB1 if given a good matchup. He was the NFL’s QB13 last season and is one of the game’s most polished quarterbacks. Though the cast of weapons around him isn’t particularly impressive, it wasn’t particularly impressive last year, and he should be able to improve on the synergy he’s developed with the talent around him. The Raiders’ offensive line will be considerably healthier this year, Darren Waller is in his prime, and Henry Ruggs’ breakthrough season may transform Carr into a low-end QB1 by the end of the season. Consider Carr as a backup if you go with the next QB on this list.
2. Philadelphia Eagles’ Jalen Hurts (ADP 98, QB12)
Hurts has the potential to be a breakthrough star in 2021. Hurts shown that he already has one of the highest ceilings in the league, and that he can provide real fantasy output with his legs on weeks when he isn’t performing well via the air in his three complete games as a rookie. Isn’t that the same man from Baltimore? Not to get ahead of myself, but Hurts has a lot to look forward to in 2021. With his 4.59 speed, exceptional agility, good arm skill, and an interesting bunch of young receiving talent around him, he could easily be a top-5 quarterback by the end of the season. Hurts’ potential is certainly worth the risk of him being a failure, especially considering how simple it is to find streamers at quarterback who provide similar value to QBs going higher than him (Matthew Stafford, Ryan Tannehill, Tom Brady).
1. Chicago Bears’ Justin Fields (ADP 152, QB17)
Fields is an incredibly explosive talent who, in essence, provides Trey Lance’s potential in a scenario where he might open the season as the starting quarterback in Chicago. He’s a physical freak, with his 6’3′′, 228-pound body and 4.44 speed giving him the stats of a star running back — not a quarterback. In Chicago, he has excellent weapons in Allen Robinson, Darnell Mooney, Tarik Cohen, and Cole Kmet, and he’s a fairly polished passer. We’re all aware of Fields’ potential once he gets going. It’s only a question of time. Take Fields – you won’t be sorry.
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